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I’m not done with Water Rights. I am STILL THINKING.

On the one hand, I’m pleased when bright people from outside Water take a crack at offering solutions.  Maybe they can question the basic assumptions that insiders have grown so used to that they don’t even see their biases any more.  On the other hand, this is pretty painful to read.  I love the realization that eating California produce is eating embedded sunshine and water.  I love the suggestion that other states take on more row crop production; spreading around our food production will add to resiliency in the face of climate change.  But Philpott doesn’t mention the extraordinarily large elephant.  I’m afraid he didn’t even see it.  He somehow managed to look up a bunch of ag statistics and miss the field crops and cattle industry. 

Remember? (pg14)  Field crops (grains to be fed to cattle for milk and beef) use about 60% of the applied water in the state, on about half the irrigated acreage in the state.  Those field crops go through cattle; by the time the meat is food, the water content in that meal is another order of magnitude more wasteful.  (slides 10-12)   The meat and dairy industry’s demand for more than half the irrigation water in the state makes it sensitive to drought, as you see in articles about thinning herds and insufficient feed.  (ht Aquafornia)

Truly, the water demands of California row crops are not the problem for which musing bloggers need to suggest solutions (like an area of origin tax).  That’s not where the huge gains can come from or even an inefficient use of water.  Reducing in-state meat production is the arena with huge potential for freeing up water1.    My first hope would be that people would eat drastically less meat.  My second is that they would only eat pasture-finished meat, of which California cannot produce nearly as much as it does grain-finished meat.  My third is that the Great Plains would return to grazing large herds, if people must eat lots of meat.  My final, futile hope is that people who blog about California water would ask me questions first.  I am doomed to tilt.

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 Not because field crops are necessarily inefficiently irrigated or inherently require a lot of water.  Because growing field crops for meat and dairy production is the majority of our agland use and feeding them to cattle intensifies embedded water tenfold.

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California Water Rights and Flexibility

I’m intrigued that both defenses of our current water rights system emphasize how flexible our water rights system is.

Public Water Coalition:
“The hallmark of California water rights is flexibility.” …

“With a resource as variable as water, some flexibility in rights is by design. Appropriative water rights account for this flexibility because their holders can modify them as long as other legal users of water are not injured. This basic rule has supported a robust and growing water transfer market.”

Ms. Moon’s testimony:
“With a resource as variable as water, and with constantly changing land use patterns, some flexibility in the administration of the rights is needed and has been designed into the system. For example, appropriative water rights provide this flexibility by allowing their holders to modify the ways they are exercised (place of use, point of diversion, purpose of use) as long as other legal users of water or the environment are not injured.”

All this talk about the great flexibility of California water rights is strange to me, because, like, they aren’t. Riparian rights can only be used on land adjacent to the river; water under a riparian right can’t be stored. Appropriative rights can only be used for the permitted point of diversion, place of use and purpose of use1. An appropriative right will have an upper limits on flow and maybe also on annual total diversion. It has permissible dates or season of diversion. Per the Constitution, only beneficial use is legal. If you stop using all or part your water right, the right is destroyed in all or part. The right can be modified for $1000, a change permit and environmental documentation, if the State Water Resources Control Board approves the change application. It is difficult if not impossible to get a new right, since most systems are overallocated; the only reallocation method between contemporary users is a full-fledged court adjudication and watermaster for the river or watershed.

I don’t think these restrictions are entirely nonsensical, although some of them are arbitrary vestiges of older laws. But this is not a flexible water rights system, nor one capable of adapting to additional users or changes in hydrology. For example, a flexible rights system might be like the markets in Portugal, where buyers purchase a daily allotment of agricultural water from centralized sellers. That system allows for daily choice of whether, how much, and when to receive water without reporting it, risk of losing a right or violating its terms. That would be flexibility.2

I’m trying to figure out why the big boys are suddenly emphasizing the flexibility in what is actually an arcane, tangled, brittle and constrained water rights system. Two theories. First, in two of the few ways that it is flexible, it lets them move and sell water3. This is, of course, extremely valuable to members of the Public Water Coalition, who are either players with big old water rights or cities who want to get water any way they can. But you do not need our particular water rights system to achieve an economically efficient allocation of water throughout the state. Other water rights systems could also achieve that4, if that were the goal.

I have another theory about why the Public Water Coalition is talking up flexibility, one that veers wildly into speculation, overthinking and strategery. I wonder if they aren’t laying the groundwork for a legislative change to water rights law to help them with climate change.

Berkeley professor Michael Hanemann has been pointing out the need for an overhaul of our water rights system at conferences. One of his most interesting points is that appropriative rights often include dates or seasons of diversion, April to October, for example. Here’s the interesting part. Remember how climate change means that the snowpack arrives as rain and melts faster? The bulk of water will be in rivers earlier in the year. In fact, it may flow past water districts before they are allowed to divert and store it according to the dates of use in their appropriative rights. Prof. Hanemann says this will make enough appropriative rights worth so much less water that the legislature will have to address the problem wholesale.

I am probably assigning undue cleverness to whomever decided to emphasize flexibility, but I wonder if part of the goal was to get legislators thinking ‘Whatever, man. Water rights are, like, totally flexible and shit. Dates of diversion? Let’s move ‘em. April? March? February? Whatever! They’re flexible.  We’re flexible.  It is all flexible, man.” I’m real hesitant about assigning complex levels of strategizing to any group, mostly because I don’t think anyone thinks that far ahead in the real world. But with so much at stake, perhaps someone at the PWC is setting the stage for future legislative conquest. I’M ON TO YOU, SHADOWY MASTERMIND! I have exposed your plot ON MY BLOG!!!

Summary:

California’s current water rights system?  Not actually flexible.

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California’s Current Water Rights and Investment

“Communities throughout California have invested billions of dollars in reliance on their water rights or water-supply contracts issued under others’ water rights.”

Both defenses of California’s current water rights system point to the investment that water agencies have made based on their water rights. I’m interpreting that to mean that they’ve put billions of dollars into their physical delivery systems1. I assume that the implication is that “because they know they have guaranteed water, districts are willing to develop their capital.” This is true, up to a point. There comes a point, though, where having very good water rights means that districts do not invest much in their physical capital.

One of my consistent themes is that scarcity requires management. The districts whose water rights guarantee them abundance do not invest nearly enough in their physical systems. It is especially blatant for the districts with the most senior water rights, from before 1914. They have plenty, will never get cut back, and have primitive, wasteful delivery systems. The city of Sacramento, with pre-1914 water rights, doesn’t even have water meters on houses. The city of Folsom is the same. San Juan Water District is the same, and has the highest per capita water use in the state, four times as high as average. I don’t even know how they get their usage that high. Fix leaks? Why bother? With their water rights, they will never run out.

Irrigation districts follow the same pattern. The district with the largest, oldest water rights in the state, Glenn Colusa, has earthen canals and barely any controls. Here. Look. That’s a dirt ditch with the occasional flashboard check structure in it. Scroll around. The whole district is like that2. They have not invested money on tight water control. Why would they? Under our current rights system, they will not face scarcity. Spending money on their physical capital wouldn’t get them anything. This holds true for all the old, big rights holders. When people have rights to an amount of water close to what they (perceive they) need, they invest in capital to use it well. When water rights guarantee abundance, districts invest enough to move it around sloppily, but no more than that.  Our current water rights system does not direct investment very well. It gives districts the security to do some investing, but it allows severe underinvestment for the most senior rights holders.

My other point is that for virtually all of the state, our investment in physical delivery systems would not vaporize if the water rights system were changed. The pipes would still be there; people on the other ends would still need water. What Los Angeles has invested in the LA Aqueduct will still give huge returns to the city whether the City of Los Angeles held the water rights, or if each person in Los Angeles had a birthright of water, or if Martians held the water rights and sold water to Los Angeles every day. The systems that districts invested in will still exist, and they will still serve roughly the same populations who paid for them, because they will still connect the same reservoir and cities or fields. The value of the investment doesn’t depend on the nature of the water right, it depends on whether that water is used in the same place in the real world.

Summary:
Our current water rights system does not optimize investment well. It forces some regions to start paying for expensive high entropy sources while allowing others to remain severely underdeveloped.

Changing the water rights system does not necessarily de-value the investments we have already made. The fact that most water use would remain means that the value of those physical structures would persist.

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Brief description of California’s current water rights system.

A summary of California’s water rights system. The two major kinds of rights are riparian and appropriative. Riparian rights are for people who own property adjacent to a river; they can use river water to irrigate adjoining property. If the river is low, all riparian users are supposed to cut their water use proportionally. Appropriative rights can be used away from the river and are ‘first in time, first in right’. If there is a cutback, junior rights holders get none while senior rights holders get their full allotment. An appropriative right technically has a place and method of diversion, a maximum flow and maybe also a maximum volume for a year, and may have start and end dates of allowed diversion. There are a few other types of rights, but for the most part, appropriative rights allocate the most water in a system that was pieced together over a century.

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Two defenses of our current water rights system

I am genuinely grateful to the Public Water Coalition for writing up a defense of our current water rights system (II(f) pgs 12-13). I’ll be looking at both that section and to three paragraphs from Ms. Moon’s testimony to the Little Hoover Commission, which also defended the current water rights system (page 3). They touch on some of the same points, so I will refer to both of them. I’ve long wondered how people could defend our current water rights system, so I am glad to have two sincere defenses to address. I also hope these are the two strongest cases that could be made for California’s water rights system. I am copying both in full beneath the fold, in case you don’t want to click through to pdf’s elsewhere.

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The Public Water Coalition position paper and money.

You guys are all savvy and interested and no doubt some of you know more about the field of water than I do. I’m going to have to trust you, because showing how every recommendation in this paper reinforces the water agencies who are already powerful takes some background. Worse, it is repetitive and boring, because the message is always the same, “we keep our water or you give us money.” Sometimes they keep their water and we give them money.

So here’s how the paper goes. They write a section, and say some things I like to hear in the discussion paragraphs, very, very carefully qualified. Then, the recommendations are secret code for “give us money.”

Examples:

Section II (a): They write nice things about IRWM. IRWM means Integrated Regional Water Management, and tries to get all the water agencies, suppliers, wastewater treatment, counties, cities in a region involved in coordinating and managing their supplies. It is THE concept in water for the past several years, and there is about a billion dollars worth of bond money devoted to it. The Public Water Coalition position paper encourages this. The main critique of IRWM is that it gives money to the big boys, largely because those are the agencies with the capacity to attend coordinating meetings and hire consultants to write technical grant applications. It is hard for small agencies or stewardship groups to stay involved in IRWM meetings. Encouraging IRWM ends up encouraging a lot of money for the big players.

Section II (d): They say water conservation is important to them, improves their reliability, and then the recommendations are familiar.

3. beneficiary pays (not us, ‘cause we won’t do it for ourselves)

4. create incentives for us to conserve (incentives = $)

5. conserve so that we can transfer water (for money)

6. we keep it, so we can transfer it for money

Urban 2: Provide technical assistance ( = $) for water conservation

Ag 2: Same as Urban 2.

Section II (f): I’ll be discussing the water rights section at great length, but the summary is that the Public Water Coalition wants to protect their water rights and be compensated for any change in them.

Section II (i): They suggest that we give money to rural community water systems. (They are (sorta) right on this one.)

Two of their solution principles are that:

Fees or charges on water use will only be supported where they will benefit the fee payer, for example by increasing water supplies or reliability, or improving water quality. Those who pay must have an appropriate degree of participation in the decisions pertaining to the use of those funds. Such fees would be expected to vary to reflect impacts and benefits in specific regions.

Public funding should support actions of general statewide environmental benefit.

This is ultimately a little silly. The water agencies who are fiending for all this taxpayer money say they represent 25 million Californians. That’s nearly two-thirds. They have ratesetting and (some of them) taxation authorities. They can raise this money themselves if they want, and they are talking about most of the same populations. If the state gives them technical assistance, the only difference is that 13 million people that aren’t represented by the Public Water Coalition are (partially) subsidizing the 25 million water users who are. I can’t see how it makes sense for Sierras, Imperial, Santa Rosa, very northern Cal and the Delta to subsidize the whole.

Besides looking at the flow of subsidies, I don’t know how to interpret the Public Water Coalitions’ requests for money. It is more palatable to the member agencies of the PWC if someone else is the yucky tax collector? They think the state is a miracle of efficiency and should collect and hand back the money to them? Basically, if the Public Water Coalition is as big as they say, “give us money” is a strange concept.

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Big versus little.

Here it is again, more evidence of the new big v. little alignment in water politics.  From the State Water Contractors (very big), in testimony about water governance (pg 4):

Therefore, SWC makes the following recommendations regarding the role and activity of the SWRCB in its oversight of water rights:

1. To protect other beneficial users of water and the environment, the SWRCB should commence hearings to establish a diversion amounts and schedules for in-Delta water users within the CDWA and SDWA based upon water rights, hydrology and water legally available for diversion in the Delta after meeting the Bay-Delta Basin Plan objectives.

2. The SWRCB staffing should immediately be expanded to enable it to identify and halt all illegal diversions.

“[O]ther beneficial users of water and the environment” means Los Angeles and farmers in the San Joaquin. If salmon have to live in order to turn the pumps on, then it means (begrudgingly) salmon too.

“Halt all illegal diversions” means YOUR DAYS ARE NUMBERED, quainte asparagus farmers in the Delta.

I’m all in favor of cracking down on small diverters. My friend talks about standing in a stream and trying to figure out whether the incoming water is a tributary stream or run-off for overirrigated pasture. The little guys get careless, because precise water diversion and application cost more money than a small operation can afford*. Even if they only lower instream flows for a few hundred feet before the water comes back, the smaller warmer river can still strand and kill fish.

I like the recommendation fine, but I am still surprised by this new split in water users and the division in the ag community.   I wonder if the little guys have caught on yet or if they still think there is solidarity in ag.

 

 

Thanks to Aquafornia for a great job compiling these stories.

 

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II. e. Real Time Operations/Monitoring/Reporting

This is not a major point of the Public Water Coalition’s position paper, but it illustrates my take on the whole piece.  One of their eight recommendations to improve water supply and reliability (Section II, starting page 4) is to start real time operations monitoring and reporting (II, e.  page 11).  In paraphrase, they propose installing measuring devices on water diversions larger than 5cfs in the Sacramento Delta and on tributary inflows.    These meters should talk to the Batcave, showing State Water Resources Control Board staff real-time diversions, with an alarm if those exceed the amount allowed by water right.  The cost of the meters should be billed to the diverters.  Who should pay for software, maintenance and monitoring is left unsaid, but I think we all know that they mean the state should pay for that.

This is a fucking FANTASTIC idea.  I would LOVE this.  In fact, I would love to see all the diversions in the state larger than 5 cfs on a real-time monitoring system, preferably on the internet, so that anyone who was interested could watch gauges all day.  It would be EVEN BETTER if each of those diversions were linked to a database of water rights, so that an exceedance turned colors and flashed for everyone to see.  Perhaps that is too much to hope for, but all diversions on everything that flows into the Delta and through the Delta would be a GREAT start.

Here the thing.  If the Public Water Coalition wants to see this happen, there is nothing to stop them from building it.  Any group of agencies that large has at least as much capacity to make this happen as the state does.   I am quite sure the agencies represented in the PWC have enough money to develop the software, integrate the water rights database, host the site and secure the telemetry.  The meters and installation would be very expensive, but they could start with their own diversions.  They could get four or five years into building this thing and hand it over to the state, who would be happy to run it after that1.  Once there were some momentum behind it, I suspect the State Board would find it a lot easier to require small diverters to join.

This illustrates my points about the nature of the Public Water Coalition:

1.  The Public Water Coalition doesn’t propose that they go ahead and do this, because they aren’t oriented towards taking their own action to solve the water problems of our state.  They are oriented towards responding to the Delta Vision process, presumably because their sole position paper got written to serve as comments to the Delta Vision Plan. 

2.  The point of the system they propose is to clamp down on the little guys.  They’re after the hundreds or thousands of little guys who don’t track their diversions well, who may go over their rights because no one has ever cared but the fish.  I’m strongly for that, but I’ve never seen big versus little put forth like this.

3.  They sure don’t offer to put up any money, and they suggest other people pay for the whole thing.

4. In-Delta water users, you are ON YOUR OWN. The Public Water Coalition is not protecting your interests.

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 Maybe not. We might not be able to afford to staff a statewide realtime water monitoring system. I try really really hard to keep insider talk off this blog. But I will tell you the insider talk that I hear at least as much as anything, which is that people in DWR are nearly desperate to keep their data gathering alive. They inherited a system of gauges all over the state and the support for maintaining and reading them has steadily declined. The state has ninety years of hydrologic record because people thought it was a prudent good management. It was. That’s how we know that climate change is happening.

But those programs have been cut back even as we need them more desperately than ever. I’ve heard men get choked up about losing the continuous data we’ve kept for seventy years on some gauges. I’ve heard talk about the gauging and record keeping programs going from nine full-time people in one region down to one, and workers checking gauges on their own time simply out of dedication. When your state is going broke and people are going without health care, it is really hard to ask for more money to check streamflow gauges. But it is an intensely valuable program that is being eaten away by budget cuts. Given that we can’t even keep that going, I don’t know if the state could take a big monitoring system if it were handed to them.

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This was s’posed to be a blog about climate change.

I’ve been trying not to analogize between the banking crises and the California drought, not because the comparisons aren’t there, but because analogies are the devil. So this is totally not an analogy. Instead, I am pointing out some truths that both crises reveal. We already talked about how losing trust makes it extremely difficult to solve policy problems.

Here, Ezra quotes a guy who wrote of regulating banks:

And if a highly interconnected, highly complex but small financial institution fails, the system as a whole would be fine.

This isn’t limited to banks. This is a generic recipe for resilience and it is the direction our water system should go in as well.

Resilience is a Big Deal in adapting to climate change. The notion is that with increased and more severe weather events, there are going to be more disasters. So we should arrange our built environment to be resilient, to suffer less during a storm and to bounce back faster afterwards. The way to do that is with “highly interconnected, highly complex but small … institution[s]”.

I wrote this for something for work. It totally got bounced*, but it goes to show you that I’m not just making this up now.

One way to avoid having extreme events become catastrophes is by building widely distributed and mildly redundant systems. A flood that destroys a large regional wastewater treatment plant is harder to recover from than one that takes out one of several smaller plants; other facilities can assume some of the load or people will be less dislocated by a search for working facilities. The cost of replacing a single major piece of infrastructure will be a higher burden on the region than that of patching a distributed system. Because the ferocity of weather perturbations cannot be predicted now, armoring a single crucial facility can’t be assured of success and will be very expensive. Smaller distributed systems mean that after an extreme event, pieces of the region will still work.

As of yesterday, I’m starting to turn my attention to managing the recovery from perturbation. If any of you know of any good work on how modern built environments respond when crises end, I’d be super interested. It can’t be as simple as “they all instantly go back to acting normal”. How do they reactivate themselves?

 Later:  I’m doing the obvious, googling “Drought Recovery”.  I loved both of these presentations.  Also, with my public library card, I can request books from college libraries throughout the west.  They come to me!  Civilization is remarkable.

 

 

 

 

 

*I estimate I get about 15% of my thoughts through one layer of management review. I have no idea if any make it past that. That’s OK, though. I have a lot of thoughts.

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Trust and the Peripheral Canal

OK. This is a problem:

Dante Nomellini Jr., representing Delta farmers, asked state Department of Water Resources Deputy Director Jerry Johns what assurance he would give that only surplus water would be diverted into the canal, even during a drought. “We are a system of laws,” Johns said, at which the crowd laughed.

It is, actually, most of the problem. This lack of trust is the reason that people that live or farm in the Delta are fighting the Peripheral Canal so furiously1. I’ve heard talk of two kinds of mistrust, one kind that I think is deluded, the other probably well justified.

Deluded:

One type of mistrust that Delta residents display is refusal to accept any governmental agency’s assessment of the situation. I ask my coworkers who go to meetings in the Delta2 what residents say when they present seismic or flood or sea level rise data. My coworkers say that Delta residents do not believe it. They imagine that state agencies are making up data in service of a complicated land and water grab conspiracy. They don’t believe the abstract data. The evidence of their eyes and lives is stronger. They see levees every day, and those always look just like working levees. They’ve never been in island collapse floods (as evidenced by the fact that they are alive) and they will not believe something that 1. is counter to their experience and 2. means leaving the lives they know. So they choose magical thinking and believe that the islands can last.

Well justified:

Some Delta residents do not want a Peripheral Canal for two more reasons. One is that so long as there is no canal, the state is forced to keep islands intact so we can keep the freshwater sloughs between them delivering water to the pumps. They do not trust the state to maintain their lifestyles if we are not forced to by how we pump water to LA and the San Joaquin Valley. I think this is absolutely accurate. The islands and all their farm production are worth less money than repairing and maintaining the island levees would cost. Any reasonable financial analysis would say to let them fail. Further, there are tens of thousands of people who depend on the Delta in its current state, which is a pretty small interest group in a state of 35 million people. This fear for their way of life is well founded3. (The water district for LA and San Diego once said out loud that they don’t want to get involved now and will simply wait until after the Delta collapse to build an emergency canal that will work for them. I gotta say, I can see the reasoning.)

The other mistrust that seems well justified to me is that Delta residents do not believe the Department of Water Resources will obey the laws that govern any new Peripheral Canal. I mean, the people at that meeting laughed at the notion. The environmental group Friends of the River says “plumbing is destiny”. They believe if you build a big canal (which you should, because you should have enough capacity to gulp up floodwaters and send those south at the rare times when it won’t hurt smelt), it will inevitably be used in dry years to divert the whole Sacramento River. They do not believe any agreements can hold against the need for urban water. It doesn’t help that current talk of raising dams will violate old assurances that reservoirs won’t encroach on the rivers above them. Even as DWR assures Delta residents that they’ll only take what they agree to, USBR is looking at ways to violate agreements that Shasta Dam wouldn’t backwater the wild and scenic McCloud River. No wonder people don’t trust water agencies’ assurances.

DWR hasn’t demonstrated a lot of respect for laws in the past few years. They got spanked by Judge Roesch when he told them they had to have a take permit to run their pumps. The agencies said “but look, we have documents (in binders!) that are JUST LIKE a take permit.” And Judge Roesch said, how ‘bout you obey the fucking law and come back to me with a real take permit?” And DWR said “but that would take a long time and be hard” and Judge Roesch said “Then you better get started and you can start your pumps again when you bring me a take permit that says Take Permit, not a pretend bunch of documents.” And everyone looking on said, “hmm. DWR thinks laws don’t apply to them.” No wonder they can’t convince Delta residents that they would abide by a governance agreement for a Peripheral Canal.

Which is a shame. I think it is staggeringly irresponsible to have the drinking water supply for two huge cities to be as vulnerable as ours is. The known risks are shockingly high and the Delta will fail whether we build a Peripheral Canal or not. Nothing will save most Delta islands, so we might as well protect against the consequences of Delta failure. The other two options are to depopulate Los Angeles and San Diego or to find other water for them. Of the three options, the Peripheral Canal strikes me as the only possible one. So I’m for it. Battling all these forms of mistrust will make building it that much harder.

 

 

 

 

 

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